Marchés de prédiction

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

Democrats sweep

D-House, R-Senate

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

Above 249

230-233

Closest Senate race in 2026?

Iowa

Texas

2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

Democrats, 8 to 10%

Democrats, 10 to 12%

Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?

Alaska Governor-Senate combo

Democrats sweep

Republicans sweep

Kansas Governor-Senate combo

Republicans sweep

Democratic Governor, Republican Senator

Ohio Governor-Senate combo

Amy Acton and Sherrod Brown win

Vivek Ramaswamy and Jon Husted win

Midterms: Democratic mega tsunami?

How many House seats will Democrats win in North Carolina?

5

4

How many House seats will Democrats win in Pennsylvania?

9

10

Texas Railroad Commissioner & Senate combo

Jon Rosenthal & James Talarico

Bo French & Ken Paxton

How many House seats will Democrats win in Arizona?

5

6

How many House seats will Democrats win in California?

48

47

Closest Governor race in 2026?

Ohio

Georgia

Maine Governor-Senate combo

Democrats sweep

Democratic Governor, Republican Senator

Michigan Governor-Senate combo

Democrats sweep

Democratic Governor, Republican Senator

How many House seats will Democrats win in Virginia?

7

8

How many House seats will Democrats win in Texas?

10

12

Georgia Governor-Senate combo

Keisha Lance Bottoms and Jon Ossoff win

Rick Jackson and Jon Ossoff win

Who will hold more governorships after the midterms?

Democratic Party

Republican Party

How many House seats will Democrats win in Michigan?

8

9

New Hampshire Governor-Senate combo

Republican Governor, Democratic Senator

Republicans sweep

How many House seats will Democrats win in New York?

20

19

How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026?

At least 28

At least 31

Texas Governor-Senate combo

Republicans sweep

Democrats sweep

Alaska House, Governor & Senate combo

Democrats win Governor & Senate; Republican wins House

Republicans win House & Senate; Democrat wins Governor

Iowa Governor-Senate combo

Rob Sand and Josh Turek win

Rob Sand and Ashley Hinson win

How many House seats will Democrats win in Ohio?

6

5

How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026?

Exactly 0

Exactly 1

How many Republican senators will lose reelection in 2026?

5 or more

Exactly 4

How many House seats will Democrats win in Illinois?

14

Above 14

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